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remetagross



Joined: Mar 09, 2023

Post   Posted: Apr 05, 2023 - 09:51 Reply with quote Back to top

The Vamps really are even worse than in BB2016, despite all the theorycrafting that they might not.
Sp00keh



Joined: Dec 06, 2011

Post   Posted: Apr 05, 2023 - 10:21 Reply with quote Back to top

Thing is with 'odd' teams like vamps, people try them for a couple games and then drop them quickly


So, if they're unusual and hard to get used to, it reflects badly on their winrate, it makes them look worse and their true potential might be higher

See also Ogres, and how strong some coaches like Strider84 are with them


I've not played vamps in 2020 rules, and I do think they probably are weaker now, but maybe it's also about the coaches / the playstyle is not easy


Someone described them as a revolver with 6 shots. You'll have a particular turn in which you're going in hard, and you have 6 shots to make the attempt. If one vamp fails their task, you pull the trigger on the next one, until you make it work and steal the ball
This is a very different approach to most other teams, so if that's the style that works for vamps, most coaches won't be familiar with playing like that

2016 vamps were a bit different - you wouldn't have continued the assault if you failed the first couple of rolls. You'd more likely initate each turn and see how far you got, and if it failed you'd call it off and try again next turn
MattDakka



Joined: Oct 09, 2007

Post   Posted: Apr 05, 2023 - 11:23 Reply with quote Back to top

If 6 shots means 6 Vampires, I rarely found a team with 6 Vampires. If I remember well, most of them had 5 or less Vampires.
Catalyst32



Joined: Jul 14, 2008

Post   Posted: Apr 05, 2023 - 12:18 Reply with quote Back to top

How is Underworld so high? Are they good now? Does having 1 Gutter Runner help that much?
BeanBelly



Joined: Nov 14, 2019

Post   Posted: Apr 05, 2023 - 12:53 Reply with quote Back to top

The GR is very potent for UW yes

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Christer



Joined: Aug 02, 2003

Post   Posted: Apr 05, 2023 - 13:00
FUMBBL Staff
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Java wrote:
The sorting algorithm on the y= and the &m= tables is a mystery to me


It's the same sorting algorithm regardless of parameters. Sorted by highest win rate for the given row descending.

I put the page together in less than an hour and didn't bother doing a more sane sort order. I might go back to that page and add more stuff to it at some point though.
Java



Joined: Jan 27, 2018

Post   Posted: Apr 05, 2023 - 13:14 Reply with quote Back to top

Great to know. It looked so different from the table without parameters (less pleasantly coloured, so to speak) that I assumed there was something else at play.

As you said before, the page is full enough without a general win rate row/column, which that can be inferred now but is not overt info

Less than an hour, go figure, I thought that was a lot more.

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Sp00keh



Joined: Dec 06, 2011

Post   Posted: Apr 05, 2023 - 14:12 Reply with quote Back to top

For some of the more remarkable stats, I do wonder what the number of games is. It must be pretty low. Eg on the 2023 data set, Dwarves beat Halflings 100% of the time

I also wonder, is it their overall winrate? or average of the individual winrates? (is it weighted by number of games against each opponent or not)
JuggerGonzo



Joined: Dec 23, 2014

Post   Posted: Apr 05, 2023 - 14:29 Reply with quote Back to top

Only Black Box stats are worth anything.
Sp00keh



Joined: Dec 06, 2011

Post   Posted: Apr 05, 2023 - 15:05 Reply with quote Back to top

I think it is that, already. It's only Scheduler [C] games, isn't it?
koadah



Joined: Mar 30, 2005

Post   Posted: Apr 05, 2023 - 15:14 Reply with quote Back to top

JuggerGonzo wrote:
Only Black Box stats are worth anything.


Any data will be slanted towards the environment that it was taken from.

Black Box data will have less value if you are not playing in the Black Box.

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MattDakka



Joined: Oct 09, 2007

Post   Posted: Apr 05, 2023 - 16:14 Reply with quote Back to top

Still, it's better to have data without picking factor involved.
Amazons on GF can dodge Dwarfs, in the Box they can't.
Fact.
Java



Joined: Jan 27, 2018

Post   Posted: Apr 05, 2023 - 20:35 Reply with quote Back to top

Sp00keh wrote:
I think it is that, already. It's only Scheduler [C] games, isn't it?


The roster stats page draws from the entire C dataset, but it doesn't matter

There has never been a statistically significant difference in winrates between Gamefinder and Scheduler

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Wolbum



Joined: Jul 14, 2010

Post   Posted: Apr 06, 2023 - 00:36 Reply with quote Back to top

I am surprised to see Khorne lower than Nurgle when they seem superior in NAF=Tournaments. Why is that the case?
Sp00keh



Joined: Dec 06, 2011

Post   Posted: Apr 06, 2023 - 10:07 Reply with quote Back to top

My guess:
Because assigning skills to Khorne makes a really big difference to solve their awful problems
And for Nurgle it makes less of a difference

Also, the people who select Khorne for tournaments will probably be good coaches, or at least confident coaches.
People who select Khorne on fumbbl are probably just intending to try it out, struggle for a few games, and then drop the team
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